This survey took place between 9-12 December 2016 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 137 localities of 48 of the country’s regions. The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys.
The statistical error of these studies for a selection of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:
3.4% for indicators around 50%
2.9% for indicators around 25%/75%
2.0% for indicators around 10%/90%
1.5% for indicators around 5%/95%
HOW WILL THE COMING YEAR BE FOR YOU, IN COMPARISON WITH THIS PAST YEAR? (specified year of evaluation)
| Definitely better | I really hope that it will be better | I don’t think it will be any worse | It’s unlikely anything will change | The new year will arguably be worse than this past year | It is difficult to say | |
| 2017 | 7 | 46 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 5 |
| 2016 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 5 |
| 2015 | 6 | 40 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 4 |
| 2014 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 6 |
| 2013 | 6 | 50 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 5 |
| 2012 | 6 | 50 | 21 | 17 | 3 | 4 |
| 2011 | 9 | 49 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| 2010 | 9 | 48 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 7 |
| 2009 | 6 | 43 | 20 | 15 | 11 | 6 |
| 2008 | 11 | 45 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 3 |
| 2007 | 8 | 41 | 17 | 25 | 5 | 4 |
| 2006 | 6 | 46 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 4 |
| 2005 | 8 | 38 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 3 |
| 2004 | 7 | 47 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 3 |
| 2003 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 3 |
| 2002 | 7 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 5 | 4 |
| 2001 | 6 | 51 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 |
| 2000 | 6 | 46 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 7 |
| 1999 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 27 | 23 | 7 |
| 1998 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 25 | 9 | 11 |
| 1997 | 5 | 28 | 12 | 30 | 19 | 7 |
| 1996 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 25 | 12 | 7 |
| 1995 | 6 | 36 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 9 |
| 1994 | 6 | 42 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 7 |
| 1993 | 4 | 34 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 7 |
| 1992 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 18 | 44 | 7 |
| 1991 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 12 |
| 1990 | 4 | 40 | 12 | 22 | 13 | 9 |
IS IT POSSIBLE THAT IN THE COMING YEAR RUSSIA WILL SEE… (specified year of evaluation)
| Definitely yes | Probably yes | Probably no | Definitely no | It is difficult to say | |
| …large-scale manmade disasters? | |||||
| 2017 | 4 | 23 | 38 | 15 | 21 |
| 2016 | 6 | 31 | 33 | 10 | 20 |
| 2015 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 8 | 21 |
| 2014 | 6 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 19 |
| 2013 | 8 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 16 |
| 2012 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 6 | 18 |
| 2011 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 5 | 20 |
| 2007 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 8 | 24 |
| …mass epidemics? | |||||
| 2017 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 15 | 17 |
| 2016 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 17 | 19 |
| 2015 | 4 | 19 | 46 | 15 | 15 |
| 2014 | 4 | 24 | 44 | 9 | 19 |
| 2013 | 4 | 27 | 37 | 12 | 20 |
| 2012 | 3 | 34 | 36 | 9 | 19 |
| 2011 | 6 | 28 | 39 | 8 | 20 |
| 2007 | 4 | 26 | 37 | 10 | 23 |
| …corruption scandals and minister resignations? | |||||
| 2017 | 14 | 46 | 19 | 7 | 14 |
| 2016 | 10 | 43 | 21 | 9 | 16 |
| 2015 | 9 | 42 | 26 | 7 | 16 |
| 2014 | 17 | 48 | 17 | 3 | 16 |
| 2013 | 16 | 55 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
| 2012 | 10 | 50 | 21 | 4 | 14 |
| 2011 | 13 | 47 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
| 2007 | 14 | 46 | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| … resignation of the Russian government? | |||||
| 2017 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 26 | 14 |
| 2016 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 25 | 16 |
| 2015 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 23 | 17 |
| 2006 | 3 | 22 | 46 | 17 | 12 |
| …coup d’etat?* | |||||
| 2017 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 38 | 12 |
| 2016 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 40 | 15 |
| 2015 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 12 |
| 2014 | 2 | 10 | 51 | 26 | 12 |
| 2013 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 24 | 15 |
| 2012 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 20 | 15 |
| 2011 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 25 | 18 |
| 2007 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 31 | 19 |
| 2006 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 9 |
| 1999 | 11 | 35 | 26 | 16 | 12 |
| …civil disorder and mass protests? | |||||
| 2017 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 25 | 13 |
| 2016 | 4 | 27 | 37 | 18 | 15 |
| 2015 | 4 | 28 | 38 | 16 | 14 |
| 2014 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 8 | 15 |
| 2013 | 5 | 45 | 31 | 8 | 12 |
| 2012 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 6 | 13 |
| 2011 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 8 | 18 |
| 2007 | 5 | 27 | 36 | 13 | 19 |
| … armed conflict with a neighboring country? | |||||
| 2017 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 20 | 17 |
| 2016 | 4 | 25 | 34 | 16 | 21 |
| 2015 | 6 | 21 | 39 | 19 | 15 |
| 2014 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 15 | 20 |
| 2013 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 18 | 18 |
| 2012 | 1 | 22 | 42 | 17 | 19 |
| 2011 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 18 | 21 |
| 2007 | 2 | 23 | 38 | 16 | 22 |
| 2006 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 22 | 14 |
| …war with the US/NATO? | |||||
| 2017 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 14 |
| 2016 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 27 | 21 |
| 2015 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 27 | 16 |
| …exacerbation of the Northern Caucasus situation?** | |||||
| 2017 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 17 | 20 |
| 2016 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 12 | 24 |
| 2015 | 7 | 22 | 38 | 13 | 20 |
| 2014 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 5 | 23 |
| 2013 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 9 | 22 |
| 2012 | 3 | 30 | 34 | 8 | 25 |
| 2011 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 8 | 26 |
| 2007 | 4 | 29 | 36 | 6 | 24 |
| 2006 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 9 | 17 |
| …mass inter-ethnic conflict? | |||||
| 2017 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 24 | 14 |
| 2016 | 4 | 26 | 38 | 17 | 15 |
| 2015 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 15 | 13 |
| 2014 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 15 |
* In 1998, the question was given in the following form: “IN YOUR OPINION, HOW LIKELY IS IT THAT RUSSIA WILL EXPERIENCE A COUP D’ETAT IN THE NEXT 1-2 YEARS?”
** In 2005, the question was given in the following form: “IS A NEW ARMED CONFLICT IN THE CAUCASUS POSSIBLE FOR RUSSIA IN THE COMING YEAR?”
ANO Levada Center has been included in the register of noncommercial organizations acting as foreign agents. See the Director of the Levada Center’s statement of disagreement with this decision here.