Press-releases

Kurile Islands

This survey took place between 27-30 May 2016 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 800 people over the age of 18 in 137 localities of 48 of the country’s regions. The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys.

The statistical error of these studies for a selection of 800 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

                4.1% for indicators around 50%

                3.6% for indicators around 25%

                2.5% for indicators around 10%

                1.8% for indicators around 5%

FOR MANY YEARS THE CONTESTED ISLANDS OF THE SOUTHERN KURIL RIDGE HAVE BEEN A POINT OF CONTENTION BETWEEN RUSSIA AND JAPAN. WOULD YOU BE FOR OR AGAINST RUSSIA TRANSFERRING THESE ISLANDS TO JAPAN?

 

Aug.

92

Oct.

92

Feb.

93

Dec.

94

Jan.

98

Oct.

98

Nov.

98

Dec.

02

Aug.

05

Aug.

09

Feb.

11

May.

16

For 11 12 8 7 6 8 7 7 4 8 4 7
Against 71 72 77 76 82 78 79 85 87 82 90 78
It is difficult to say 18 16 15 17 13 14 14 8 9 10 6 15

WOULD YOU BE FOR OR AGAINST COMPROMISING BY TRANSFERRING TO JAPAN TWO LESSER ISLANDS (HABOMAI AND SHIKOTAN) AND RETAINING THE LARGER ISLANDS OF URUP AND ITURUP FOR RUSSIA?

  Nov.04 May.16
For 6 13
Against 87 71
It is difficult to say 8 16

 THERE IS ANOTHER SUGGESTED SOLUTION TO THE PROBLEM: ADMIT THAT THE ISLANDS ARE JAPANESE, BUT MAINTAIN DE FACTO RUSSIAN CONTROL OF THEM FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. WOULD YOU BE FOR OR AGAINST SUCH A SOLUTION?

  Apr.98 Oct.98 Dec.02 May.16
For 11 13 11 12
Against 73 62 77 69
It is difficult to say 16 25 12 19

IN YOUR OPINION, HOW WILL VLADIMIR PUTIN’S CREDIBILITY IN THE EYES OF THE RUSSIAN POPULATION BE AFFECTED IF HE DECIDES TO RETURN THE CONTESTED KURIL RIDGE ISLANDS TO JAPAN?

  Jan.00* May.01 Aug.04** May.16
Increase significantly 3 2 2 3
Increase somewhat 5 2 5 6
Remain the same 16 13 20 23
Decrease somewhat 52 26 24 23
Decrease significantly 4 42 36 32
It is difficult to say 21 15 13 14

 * Question was given in the following form: “HOW WOULD VLADIMIR PUTINS CREDIBILITY CHANGE FOR YOU IF HE WERE TO SIGN A TREATY WITH JAPAN, FORGOING FOUR ISLANDS OF THE KURIL RIDGE?”

**  Question was given in the following form: “HOW WOULD YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARDS VLADIMIR PUTIN CHANGE IF HE CONCLUDED A TREATY WITH JAPAN AND AGREED TO RETURN FOUR CONTESTED ISLANDS?

YOU MAY KNOW THAT AFTER WORLD WAR II, A PEACE TREATY WAS NOT SIGNED BETWEEN RUSSIA AND JAPAN. IN YOUR OPINION, HOW IMPORTANT FOR RUSSIA IS CONCLUDING A PEACE TREATY WITH JAPAN?

  Aug.05 Aug.09 May.16
Very important 27 16 14
Somewhat important 46 39 34
Not very important 12 19 23
Not important 7 11 15
It is difficult to say 8 15 14

FOR MANY YEARS THE CONTESTED ISLANDS OF THE SOUTHERN KURIL RIDGE, HISTORICALLY JAPANESE BUT ABSORBED BY THE USSR AFTER WORLD WAR II, HAVE BEEN A POINT OF CONTENTION BETWEEN RUSSIA AND JAPAN. IN YOUR OPINION, HOW SHOULD THIS PROBLEM BE SOLVED? (one answer)

  Feb.91 May.16
All four islands should be returned 4 4
All four islands should be returned at some time in the future when it is appropriate 4 4
Two of four islands can be returned: Habomai and Shikotan (all the better that they won’t give Japan access to the Sea of Okhotsk) 2 9
These four islands should be the joint property of Russia and Japan 18 8
None of the islands should be given away 37 56
Other 1 1
It is difficult to say 35 18

WHAT, IN YOUR OPINION, IS MORE IMPORTANT FOR RUSSIA TODAY: SIGNING A PEACE TREATY WITH JAPAN AND RECEIVING JAPANESE CREDIT AND TECHNOLOGY, OR KEEPING THE CONTESTED SOUTHERN KURIL RIDGE ISLANDS?

  Oct.92 May.16
Siging a peace treaty with Japan and receiving Japanese credit and technology 15 21
Keeping the islands 66 56
It is difficult to say 19 24

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).

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