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Electoral ratings of political parties

This survey took place between 26-29 August 2016 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 137 localities of 48 of the country’s regions.  The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys.

The statistical error of these studies for a selection of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

                3.4% for indicators around 50%

                2.9% for indicators around 25%

                2.0% for indicators around 10%

                1.5% for indicators around 5%

WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS BEST REFLECTS YOUR INTENTIONS TO VOTE IN THE UPCOMING STATE DUMA ELECTIONS? (one answer)

 

Sept.

95

Sept.

99

Nov.

03

Nov.

07

Nov.

11

Feb.

16

Mar.

16

Apr.

16

May.

15

Jun.

16

Jul.

16

Aug.

16

I’m sure that I won’t vote in the state Duma elections 13 15 15 13 11 12 13 14 14 15 14 16
I doubt that I will vote 10 8 11 7 9 12 11 10 12 13 11 12
I don’t know whether I will vote or not 15 7 13 10 17 20 22 25 26 20 25 20
I will probably vote in the State Duma elections 19 20 24 29 30 30 32 26 25 27 26 28
I will definitely vote in the elections (of course as long as nothing happens to me before then) 42 47 36 40 31 21 19 21 19 21 20 20
It is difficult to say 1 1 1 2 3 5 3 5 5 4 5 4

IF THE STATE DUMA ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE THIS SUNDAY, WOULD YOU PARTICIPATE IN THEM, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF THESE PARTIES WOULD YOU VOTE, OR WOULD YOU DAMAGE OR NOT TURN IN THE BALLOT? (respondents were presented with a card listing party names in an order determined by the Central Election Commission; one answer; as a percentage of ALL THOSE SURVEYED)

  Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16
Rodina <1 1 1 1 <1 <1 <1 1
Communists of Russia <1 1 1 1 1 1
Russian Party of Pensioners for Justice <1 <1 <1 1
United Russia 39 40 40 42 35 35 39 31
Russian ecological party “The Greens” <1 <1 <1 1
Civic Platform 1 <1 1 1 <1 1 <1 <1
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 5 6 6 7 9 9 10 9
People’s Freedom Party (PARNAS) <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 1 1
Party of Growth <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1
Civilian Power 1 1 <1 <1
Russian United Democratic Party “Yabloko” <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 1 1
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) 10 10 13 10 14 11 10 10
Patriots of Russia <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1
A Just Russia 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 5
Other 2 1 1 2 1 <1 <1 <1
I would damage or not turn in the ballot 1 1 2 1 2 2 1
I don’t know for which party I would vote 10 11 8 11 11 11 12
I wouldn’t vote 19 16 12 10 12 14 11 15
I don’t know whether I would vote or not 11 10 12 12 11 10 10
It is difficult to say 22

IF THE STATE DUMA ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE THIS SUNDAY, WOULD YOU PARTICIPATE IN THEM, AND IF SO, WHICH OF THESE PARTIES WOULD YOU VOTE FOR, OR WOULD YOU RUIN OR REMOVE THE BALLOT? (one answer; as a percentage of those respondents WHO WOULD VOTE AND CHOSE A PARTY; data ranking based on last survey)

  Jan.16 Feb.16 Mar.16 Apr.16 May.16 Jun.16 Jul.16 Aug.16
1. United Russia 65 64 59 60 53 55 57 50
2. Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) 16 17 19 15 21 18 15 15
3. Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 8 10 10 10 14 14 15 14
4. A Just Russia 5 4 5 5 4 5 5 9
5. Russian Party of Pensioners for Justice <1 <1 <1 2
6. Communists of Russia 1 2 1 1 1 2
7. People’s Freedom Party (PARNAS) 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
8-9. Rodina 1 1 1 1 <1 1 <1 1
8-9. Russian United Democratic Party “Yabloko” 1 <1 <1 <1 <1 1 1 1
10. Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” <1 <1 <1 1
11-12. Civic Platform 1 <1 1 1 <1 1 <1 1
11-12. Party of Growth <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 1
13. Patriots of Russia 1 <1 <1 <1 1 <1 <1 <1
14. Civilian Power 1 1 <1 <1
Other 2 2 1 1 1 <1 <1 <1

I would damage or not turn in the ballot

2 2 3 2 3 2 2

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).

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