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Russian-Ukrainian Relations

The survey took place between 22 and 25 May 2015 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%. The results of this public opinion research demonstrate the attitudes of Ukrainian residents and belong to the Kiev International Institute of Sociology (KIIS).

HAVE YOU BEEN FOLLOWING THE LATEST EVENTS IN UKRAINE?

 

2014

2015

V

VI

VII

VIII

XI

XII

I

II

13-16

III

20-23

III

IV

V

Very

attentively

12

20

16

15

15

13

16

15

13

17

14

13

Somewhat

attentively

46

45

48

49

37

35

43

43

35

40

33

37

Without particular

attention

34

29

29

30

36

41

35

33

40

34

38

37

Not at all

8

6

5

6

11

9

5

9

11

8

14

11

I haven’t heard

anything

about this

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

<1

2

DO YOU SUPPORT THE ACCESSION OF CRIMEA TO RUSSIA?

2014*

2015

III

V

X

XI

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

Definitely yes

57

54

55

53

50

50

52

55

55

56

Probably yes

31

36

31

31

36

34

32

33

34

29

Probably no

6

4

7

6

7

8

9

6

6

7

Definitely no

1

1

2

5

3

4

3

2

2

2

It is difficult to say

4

5

5

6

4

4

4

4

4

6

* In March and May the question was asked in the following format: ‘Are you personally for or against the accession of Crimea to Russia?’

IN GENERAL, WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD UKRAINE?

 

Jan.

14

Mar.

14

21-24

March

2014

May

14

July

14

Sept.

14

Nov.

14

Jan.

15

Mar.

15

May

15

Very good; a very positive attitude

66

63

52

35

33

32

28

24

31

26

Very bad; a very negative attitude

26

25

37

49

55

55

59

63

55

59

It is difficult to say

9

12

11

17

13

13

12

13

13

14

IN GENERAL, WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD RUSSIA?

 

Feb. 14

May 14

Sept. 14

Dec. 14

May 15

Very good; a very positive attitude

78

52

48

37

30

Very bad; a very negative attitude

13

38

41

48

56

It is difficult to say

9

10

11

16

14

 

Feelings of Russians…

Feelings of Ukrainians…

Towards Ukraine

Towards the US

Towards Russia

Towards the US

Very good; a very positive attitude

26

15

30

54

Very bad; a very negative attitude

59

73

56

22

It is difficult to say

14

12

14

25

IN GENERAL, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE CURRENT LEADERSHIP OF UKRAINE?

May 14

Sept. 14

Feb. 15

May 15

Very good

3

1

1

1

Mostly good

9

7

5

5

Mostly bad

29

39

33

27

Very bad

50

47

56

59

It is difficult to say

10

6

6

8

IN GENERAL, HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT UKRAINIANS (RESIDENTS OF UKRAINE)?

 

Oct. 06

May 09

May 14

Sept. 14

Feb. 15

May 15

Very good

10

7

22

9

13

14

Mostly good

71

68

59

52

50

50

Mostly bad

11

15

10

21

19

18

Very bad

2

3

2

5

6

7

It is difficult to say

6

7

7

14

12

11

WITH WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING OPINIONS ABOUT RUSSIA’S RELATIONS VIS_A VIS UKRAINE DO YOU MOST AGREE?

 

These relations should have closed borders, with visa and customs requirements

These relations should have open borders, with no visa or customs requirements

Russia and Ukraine should unite into one State

It is difficult to say

May 15

30

54

10

6

Jan. 15

33

52

8

8

Sept. 14

26

62

7

5

May 14

28

54

12

6

Mar. 14

16

50

28

7

Jan. 14

19

59

16

6

Oct. 13

23

55

16

6

May 13

19

58

15

8

Jan. 13

13

64

18

6

Sept .12

14

60

20

6

May 12

17

62

14

7

Jan. 12

16

61

16

8

Sept. 11

16

63

14

6

May 11

16

64

15

5

Jan. 11

20

61

13

6

Sept. 10

16

60

18

6

May 10

17

64

13

6

Jan. 10

25

55

14

6

Sept. 09

25

55

13

7

May 09

25

55

14

6

Jan. 09

29

51

12

8

Sept. 08

24

52

13

11

Mar. 08

19

56

19

6

WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING WOULD YOU LIKE TO SEE BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE?

 

There should be

closed borders

with visa and

customs

requirements

There should be

open borders

with no visa or

customs

requirements

Russia and Ukraine

should unite

into one State

It is difficult

to say

May 15

45

46

2

7

Sept. 14

45

44

5

7

May 14

32

54

8

5

Feb. 14

15

68

12

5

Nov. 13

12

73

9

6

May 13

11

69

14

5

Feb. 13

13

68

16

3

Sept. 12

11

72

14

3

Feb. 12

13

69

16

2

Nov. 11

13

67

16

1

Oct. 10

10

67

20

2

June 10

12

70

16

2

Mar. 10

11

67

19

3

Jan. 10

8

66

22

4

Oct. 09

11

67

19

3

May 09

10

65

23

2

Feb. 09

8

68

23

1

Sept. 08

17

66

16

2

Apr. 08

10

67

20

3

Military Conflict between Russia and Ukraine

ARE YOU CONCERNED THAT THE CURRENT ARMED CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE WITH THE PARTICIPATION OF RUSSIAN VOLUNTEERS COULD ESCALATE INTO A WAR BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE?

June 14

July 14

Apr. 15

Very concerned

26

26

11

Somewhat concerned

42

40

38

Not very concerned

19

23

33

Not at all concerned

7

6

13

It is difficult to say

6

5

5

ARE YOU SCARED BY THE POSSIBILITY OF A WAR BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE?

 

May 15

Very scared

19

Somewhat scared

33

Not very scared

29

Not at all scared

12

It is difficult to say

7

IN YOUR OPINION, CAN THE CURRENT ARMED CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE ESCALATE INTO A WAR BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE?

 

May 15

It is inevitable

4

It is likely

28

It is unlikely

48

It is impossible

14

It is difficult to say

6

 

All

A war between

Russia and Ukraine

is likely

A war between

Russia and Ukraine

is unlikely

The possibly of a war between

Russia and Ukraine scares me

52

79

39

The possibly of a war between

Russia and Ukraine does not scare me

41

17

56

No answer

7

3

5

Military Conflict between Russia and the West

ARE YOU CONCERNED THAT THE CURRENT ARMED CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE WITH THE PARTICIPATION OF RUSSIAN VOLUNTEERS COULD ESCALATE INTO A WAR?

June 14

July 14

Apr. 15

Very concerned

21

21

10

Somewhat concerned

33

31

37

Not very concerned

23

27

31

Not at all concerned

15

13

14

It is difficult to say

9

8

7

ARE YOU SCARED BY THE POSSIBILITY OF A WAR BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE WEST/ A WORLD WAR?

 

May 15

Very scared

22

Somewhat scared

33

Not very scared

25

Not at all scared

12

It is difficult to say

8

IN YOUR OPINION, CAN THE CURRENT ARMED CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE ESCALATE INTO A WAR BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE WEST/A WORLD WAR?

 

May 15

It is inevitable

2

It is likely

22

It is unlikely

51

It is impossible

18

It is difficult to say

8

 

 

All

A war between

Russia and the West

is likely

A war between

Russia and the West

is unlikely

The possibly of a war between

Russia and the West scares me

55

84

47

The possibly of a war between

Russia and the West does not scare me

37

13

48

No answer

8

3

5

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).

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