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Politics and economy: estimates and prospects

About half of Russians consider the political climate in Russia to be tense, 41% view the economic situation as bad. A third of respondents believe that their quality of live has deteriorated over the last year. 25% and 22% of respondents, respectively, think that things will go better for their family and for Russia as a whole, 19% and 33% expect things to go worse. Most of the respondents expect both the political life and the economy in Russia to deteriorate in the coming months.

 

Almost half of Russians (47%) view the political climate in Russia as tense, 12 – as critical. Only 7% of respondents consider the political situation in Russia to be favorable, another third (32%) – calm.

[1]

Among the respondents by customer status, the group who “barely can afford food” stands out: a fifth (22%) assess the political situation in Russia as critical; among those who “can afford clothes”, this view is shared by 11%; among those who “can afford durable goods” – 7%. However, the relative majority (about a half) in each category considers the political situation in Russia to be tense.

[2]

About a half of respondents (48%) assess the current economic situation in Russia as calm. Only 9% believe that the Russian economy is in a good state (1% – very good, 8% – good). More than 40% of respondents define the economic situation as bad (30% – bad, 11% – very bad).

[3]

The most pessimistic attitude to the current economic situation of Russia is observed among those Russians who “barely have enough for food”: 31% consider it bad, 20% – very bad.

[4]

 

More than half (53%) of Russians say that their life and the life of their family have not changed over the past year. A third (32%) believe that life has deteriorated. 3% are inclined to believe that life has improved significantly, 11% – that life has somewhat improved.

[5]

A quarter of respondents believe that their life and the life of their family will improve in a year; a fifth (19%) – that life will get worse.

A third (33%) of respondents believe that life in Russia will get worse in a year. Those who think the opposite amount to 22%.

[6]

A large proportion of respondents (44% and 49%) expect that in the coming months Russia will face a deterioration in both the political life and the economy, 38% and 35%, respectively. expect the situation to improve.

[7]

Slightly more than half of the respondents (55%) believe that the current government will not be able to improve the situation in the country over the next year (35% – probably not, 20% – certainly not). 39% are inclined to the opposite: 6% believe that the Russian government will certainly be able to improve the situation in the country, 33% – rather able than unable.

[8]

METHODOLOGY

This survey was conducted November 25 – December 1 2021, among a representative sample of all Russian urban and rural residents. The sample was comprised of 1603 people aged 18 or older in 137 municipalities of 50 regions of the Russian Federation. The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the total number of participants along with data from previous surveys.

 

The statistical error of these studies for a sample of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

 

3.4% for indicators around 50%

 

2.9% for indicators around 25%/75%

 

2.0% for indicators around 10%/90%

 

1.5% for indicators around 5%/95%

The ANO Levada Center is included in the registry of non-commercial organizations acting as foreign agents.

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