Ukraine

The survey took place between 17-20 July 2015 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings.  The survey was carried out among 1600*/800** people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the countrys regions.  The answer distribution is presented as percentages of those numbers of participants along with data from previous surveys.  The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.

HAVE YOU BEEN FOLLOWING THE LATEST EVENTS IN UKRAINE?*

 

2013

2014

2015

XII

VII

VIII

XI

XII

I

II

13-16

III

20-23

III

IV

V

VII

Very attentively

4

16

15

15

13

16

15

13

17

14

13

15

Fairly attentively

21

48

49

37

35

43

43

35

40

33

37

36

Not particularly attentively

40

29

30

36

41

35

33

40

34

38

37

38

I have not been following at all

17

5

6

11

9

5

9

11

8

14

11

11

I have not heard anything about this

18

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

<1

2

1

 DO YOU SUPPORT CRIMEA’S ACCESSION TO RUSSIA?

 

2014*

2015

III

V

X

XI

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

VII

Definitely yes

57

54

55

53

50

50

52

55

55

56

51

Mostly yes

31

36

31

31

36

34

32

33

34

29

33

Mostly no

6

4

7

6

7

8

9

6

6

7

8

Definitely no

1

1

2

5

3

4

3

2

2

2

3

It is difficult to say

4

5

5

6

4

4

4

4

4

6

4

* - In March and May the question was asked in the following way: “Are you personally for or against the accession of Crimea to Russia?”

WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS BEST DESCRIBES YOUR OPINION ON THE REASONS BEHIND THE CURRENT CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE? (one response)**

 

Jul. 14

Jul.15

It is the result of interference from the West

64

45

It is the result of the nationalist policies of Ukraine’s leadership

20

27

It is a protest by the population of Eastern Ukraine against the new government in Kiev

7

15

It is the result of interference from Russia

3

4

It is difficult to say

6

10

ARE YOU CONCERNED THAT THE CURRENT ARMED CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE COULD, WITH THE PARTICIPATION OF RUSSIAN VOLUNTEER FIGHTERS, ESCALATE INTO A PROTRACTED CIVIL WAR?*

 

Jun. 14

Jul. 14

Jul. 15

I am very concerned

36

36

22

I have some concerns

48

46

48

I am not particularly concerned

9

10

19

I am not at all concerned

2

3

6

It is difficult to say

6

5

5

ARE YOU CONCERNED THAT THE CURRENT ARMED CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE COULD, WITH THE PARTICIPATION OF RUSSIAN VOLUNTEER FIGHTERS, ESCALATE INTO A WAR BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE?*

 

Jun. 14

Jul.14

Apr.15

Jul. 15

I am very concerned

26

26

11

13

I have some concerns

42

40

38

38

I am not particularly concerned

19

23

33

31

I am not concerned at all

7

6

13

13

It is difficult to say

6

5

5

5

ARE YOU CONCERNED THAT THE CURRENT ARMED CONFLICT IN EASTERN UKRAINE COULD, WITH THE PARTICIPATION OF RUSSIAN VOLUNTEER FIGHTERS, ESCALATE INTO A THIRD WORLD WAR?*

 

Jun.14

Jul. 14

Apr.15

Jul.15

I am very concerned

21

21

10

13

I have some concerns

33

31

37

30

I am not particularly concerned

23

27

31

30

I am not concerned at all

15

13

14

19

It is difficult to say

9

8

7

9

DO YOU THINK THAT THERE ARE RUSSIAN TROOPS IN UKRAINE RIGHT NOW?**

 

Sept.14

Nov.14

Feb.15

Jul. 15

Yes

29

25

25

26

No

49

53

53

52

It is difficult to say

23

22

22

22

In March 2015, the question was asked with a different scale:

 

March 15

Definitely yes

6

Probably yes

24

Probably not

31

Definitely not

20

It is difficult to say

19

WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD THE FACT THAT THERE ARE RUSSIAN VOLUNTEER FIGHTERS AMONG THE MILITIA RANKS IN EASTERN UKRAINE?**

 

May.14*

Jun.14*

19-22 Sept.14*

26-29 Sept.14

Nov.14

Feb.15

Jul.15

Entirely positive

24

20

13

11

12

14

15

Mostly positive

37

44

44

47

43

38

38

Mostly negative

15

13

20

19

19

23

18

Sharply negative

4

6

5

7

7

8

9

It is difficult to say

20

17

18

16

20

17

21

* The question was asked in the following way: WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD THE PARTICIPATION OF RUSSIAN VOLUNTEER FIGHTERS IN THE CONFLICTS IN THE DONETSK AND LUGANSK REGIONS?

IF YOU WERE TO LEARN THAT CADRES OF THE RUSSIAN MILITARY WERE FIGHTING AMONG THE MILITIA RANKS IN EASTERN UKRAINE, WHAT WOULD BE YOUR REACTION?**

 

Nov.14

Feb.15

Jul.15

Entirely positive

10

11

9

Mostly positive

35

34

24

Mostly negative

25

26

26

Sharply negative

9

9

14

It is difficult to say

22

20

28

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).