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How likely are repressions, dictatorship, and pogroms?

The survey took place between 21 and 24 November 2014 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD THERE BE INCREASED PERSECUTION OF DISSIDENTS AND OPPOSITION?

 

July 08

Oct. 12

Nov. 14

Definitely yes

3

5

3

Probably yes

20

29

22

Unlikely

35

33

47

Definitely no

20

13

21

It is difficult to say

23

20

7

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD A DICTATORSHIP BE ESTABLISHED?

 

July 08*

Oct. 12*

Nov. 14

Definitely yes

6

7

3

Probably yes

21

24

15

Unlikely

31

35

46

Definitely no

25

18

30

It is difficult to say

17

16

7

*The question was formulated as follows: IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD A CULT OF PERSONALITY EMERGE AROUND THE HEAD OF GOVERNMENT?

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD THERE BE POGROMS AND MASSIVE BLOODY CONFLICTS?

 

July 08

Oct. 12

Nov. 14

Definitely yes

5

6

2

Probably yes

34

36

19

Unlikely

29

33

45

Definitely no

19

14

27

It is difficult to say

13

11

7

Distribution of answers depending on the respondents’ level of education

 

 

All

Education

Higher

Specialized

secondary

Secondary

Lower than

secondary

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD THERE BE INCREASED PERSECUTION OF DISSIDENTS AND OPPOSITION?

Definitely yes

3

3

4

5

1

Probably yes

22

29

18

21

18

Unlikely

47

44

49

49

46

Definitely no

21

20

23

16

25

It is difficult to say

7

5

7

9

10

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD A DICTATORSHIP BE ESTABLISHED?

Definitely yes

3

3

4

3

1

Probably yes

15

18

13

9

17

Unlikely

46

45

45

52

41

Definitely no

30

29

31

27

31

It is difficult to say

7

5

7

9

10

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD THERE BE POGROMS AND MASSIVE BLOODY CONFLICTS?

Definitely yes

2

3

3

1

2

Probably yes

19

20

19

18

18

Unlikely

45

47

41

45

46

Definitely no

27

24

29

29

25

It is difficult to say

7

6

8

7

8

 Distribution of answers depending on area population density

 

 

All

Locality

Moscow

More than

500,000

From 100,000 – 500,000

City with less

than 100,000

Villages

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD THERE BE INCREASED PERSECUTION OF DISSIDENTS AND OPPOSITION?

Definitely yes

3

5

2

4

4

2

Probably yes

22

29

22

24

23

17

Unlikely

47

37

52

47

44

49

Definitely no

21

27

19

12

21

27

It is difficult to say

7

2

5

14

7

6

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD A DICTATORSHIP BE ESTABLISHED?

Definitely yes

3

15

2

4

2

2

Probably yes

15

21

13

15

15

14

Unlikely

46

26

54

50

44

43

Definitely no

30

34

25

20

32

36

It is difficult to say

7

4

6

11

8

6

IN THE COMING YEARS IN RUSSIA, COULD THERE BE POGROMS AND MASSIVE BLOODY CONFLICTS?

Definitely yes

2

5

2

4

3

1

Probably yes

19

35

19

16

17

18

Unlikely

45

31

49

49

42

46

Definitely no

27

27

26

20

29

29

It is difficult to say

7

4

4

12

9

6

Translated by the Graduate Initiative in Russian Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies.

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