Press-releases

Electoral ratings (20 – 23 February 2015)

The survey took place between 20 and 23 February 2015 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.

Possible results of presidential elections

Feb. 15

In % of all respondents

In % of respondents

who are decided on

their vote

Vladimir Putin

55

86

Gennady Zyuganov

5

7

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

3

4

Sergei Shoigu

1

1

Alexei Navalny

1

1

Dmitry Medvedev

<1

1

Sergei Mironov

<1

<1

Others

1

1

I don’t know for whom I would vote

11

I don’t know whether I would vote

12

I wouldn’t vote

13

Data in Action

IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF THE CURRENT POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (open answer; politicians were named by respondents)

 

2014

2015

I

II

III

IV

V

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

II

Vladimir Putin

29

32

46

49

50

52

57

49

56

53

55

55

Gennady Zyuganov

5

6

6

4

4

4

3

4

2

5

4

5

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

3

5

3

4

3

3

2

3

4

4

3

3

Sergei Shoigu

2

1

1

1

1

1

<1

<1

1

<1

1

1

Alexei Navalny

1

<1

1

<1

<1

<1

1

<1

 <1

<1

 <1

1

Dmitry Medvedev

1

1

1

<1

2

1

1

1

<1

<1

<1

<1

Sergei Mironov

1

1

1

1

1

<1

1

1

<1

1

 <1

 <1

Other

3

2

3

2

1

1

1

1

<1

<1

1

1

I don’t know for whom I would vote

27

25

18

21

16

18

14

17

16

17

19

11

I don’t know whether I would vote

13

14

13

8

10

9

9

12

11

11

10

12

I wouldn’t vote

17

13

10

10

11

9

12

12

10

8

8

13

IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF THE CURRENT POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (open answer – politicians were named by respondents; in % of respondents who would vote and know who they would vote for)

 

2014

2015

I

II

III

IV

V

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

II

Vladimir Putin

66

67

77

81

81

82

87

83

88

84

88

86

Gennady Zyuganov

12

13

9

7

7

6

4

7

4

7

6

7

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

7

9

5

6

5

5

4

4

6

6

4

4

Sergei Shoigu

4

2

1

2

2

1

<1

<1

2

<1

1

1

Alexei Navalny

1

1

1

<1

<1

<1

1

1

<1

<1

<1

1

Dmitry Medvedev

2

2

1

<1

3

2

1

2

1

<1

<1

1

Sergei Mironov

1

2

1

1

1

<1

1

2

<1

2

<1

<1

Other

6

4

4

3

2

2

2

1

<1

1

1

1

IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF THE CURRENT POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question – respondents selected politicians from the following list)

 

Aug. 14

Sept. 14

Oct. 14

Nov. 14

Dec. 14

Feb. 15

Vladimir Putin

58

56

63

61

59

59

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

5

6

5

6

5

5

Gennady Zyuganov

7

7

6

5

6

4

Sergei Mironov

1

2

1

<1

1

2

Alexei Navalny

1

1

1

1

<1

2

Mikhail Prokhorov

1

1

2

1

1

2

Someone else

1

2

<1

1

1

<1

I don’t know for whom

I would vote

8

12

10

10

13

12

I wouldn’t vote

10

7

8

8

6

9

I don’t know whether

I would vote

8

7

4

7

7

5

IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF THE CURRENT POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question – respondents selected politicians from the following list; in % of respondents who would vote and know for whom they would vote)

Aug. 14

Sept. 14

Oct. 14

Nov. 14

Dec. 14

Feb. 15

Vladimir Putin

79

75

81

82

80

80

Vladimir Zhirinovsky

7

8

6

8

7

7

Gennady Zyuganov

10

9

8

7

9

6

Sergei Mironov

1

3

2

1

2

3

Alexei Navalny

1

1

1

1

1

3

Mikhail Prokhorov

2

2

3

1

1

2

Someone else

1

2

1

1

1

1

 Possible results of Duma elections

Distribution of answers depending on the presence/absence of the “against all” column

Feb. 15

In % of all respondents

In % of respondents who are decided on their vote

Including the “against all” option

Excluding the “against all” option

Including the “against all” option

Excluding the “against all” option

United Russia (D. Medvedev)

45

46

64

68

Communist Party (G. Zyuganov)

12

9

17

14

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (V. Zhirinovsky)

6

6

8

8

Progress Party (A. Navalny)

2

1

2

1

Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov)

1

2

1

3

A Just Russia (S. Mironov)

1

2

1

4

Apple (S. Mitrokhin)

<1

<1

<1

<1

Other

2

1

3

2

Against all

4

5

I wouldn’t take part in the elections

16

17

It is difficult to say

14

16

 Data in Action


IF THE DUMA ELECTIONS WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question; in % of respondents)

 

2014

2015

I

II

III

IV

V

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

United Russia

(D. Medvedev)

28

29

36

39

40

36

42

42

47

43

39

44

45

Communist Party

(G. Zyuganov)

11

9

11

9

5

12

8

10

9

10

11

7

12

Liberal Democratic

Party оf Russia

(V. Zhirinovsky)

5

7

5

6

4

4

6

5

7

6

6

6

6

Progress Party

(A. Navalny)

1

1

1

1

1

<1

1

1

<1

<1

<1

<1

2

Civic Platform

(R. Shaykhutdinov)

2

2

2

2

<1

1

1

<1

1

<1

<1

1

1

A Just Russia

(S. Mironov)

2

2

3

2

2

2

3

3

1

2

1

2

1

Apple

(S. Mitrokhin)

<1

<1

<1

<1

1

<1

<1

1

1

<1

1

1

<1

Other

1

1

2

1

1

<1

1

<1

1

1

1

2

2

Against all

8

4

4

6

5

6

5

4

3

4

5

4

4

I wouldn’t take part

in the elections

23

22

14

16

15

17

16

16

16

17

18

17

16

It is difficult to say

19

22

23

19

26

22

18

18

15

17

19

17

14

IF THE DUMA ELECTIONS WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question; in % of respondents who would vote and know for whom they would vote)

 

2014

2015

I

II

III

IV

V

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

United Russia

(D. Medvedev)

48

51

56

60

66

59

64

63

68

64

61

66

64

Communist Party

(G. Zyuganov)

19

16

17

13

9

19

12

15

13

15

17

10

17

Liberal Democratic

Party of Russia

(V. Zhirinovsky)

9

13

8

9

7

7

9

7

10

9

10

10

8

Progress Party

(A. Navalny)

2

2

1

1

2

<1

1

1

1

1

<1

<1

2

Civic Platform

(R. Shaykhutdinov)

3

4

4

3

<1

1

2

<1

1

<1

<1

1

1

A Just Russia

(S. Mironov)

3

4

4

4

4

4

4

5

2

3

1

3

1

Apple

(S. Mitrokhin)

1

1

1

<1

2

<1

<1

2

1

1

1

2

<1

Other

2

2

2

1

2

1

1

<1

1

1

2

2

3

Against all

14

7

6

9

8

9

8

6

4

6

7

7

5

WOULD YOU PREFER THAT, AFTER THREE YEARS, VLADIMIR PUTIN BE ELECTED AS PRESIDENT OF RUSSIA FOR ANOTHER TERM, OR THAT HE BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER PERSON AFTER THREE YEARS?

 

Feb. 15

I would prefer that Putin be reelected as President of Russia in three years

57

I would prefer that Putin be replaced by another person as President of Russia in three years

25

It is difficult to say

19

Until February 2015, the question was asked in the following format: “Would you prefer that, after six years Vladimir Putin be elected as President of Russia for another term, or that he be replaced by Dmitry Medvedev or another person after six years?”

WOULD YOU PREFER THAT, AFTER SIX YEARS, VLADIMIR PUTIN BE ELECTED AS PRESIDENT OF RUSSIA FOR ANOTHER TERM, OR THAT HE BE REPLACED BY DMITRY MEDVEDEV OR ANOTHER PERSON AFTER SIX YEARS?

 

Mar. 12

Aug. 12

Dec. 12

Mar. 13

Dec. 13

I would prefer that Putin be reelected as President of Russia in six years

17

22

23

22

22

I would prefer that Putin be replaced by Medvedev as President of Russia in six years

6

7

5

8

6

I would prefer that Putin be replaced by another person as President of Russia in six years

43

49

44

47

47

It is difficult to say

34

22

28

23

26

DO YOU BELIEVE THAT THERE IS CURRENTLY A REPLACMENT FOR VLADIMIR PUTIN AS PRESIDENT OF RUSSIA?

Dec. 12

Dec. 13

It is possible to find is a politician who could replace Putin now

10

12

If needed, we could find a person who could replace Putin

47

40

There is not currently anyone in Russia who could replace Putin

27

31

It is difficult to say

15

17

IN YOUR OPINION, WHAT HAPPENS WHEN POWER IN THE COUNTRY IS HELD IN THE HANDS OF THE SAME PEOPLE FOR MANY YEARS?

Oct. 07

Oct. 11

Dec. 13

Feb. 15

It ensures order and stability in the country

34

25

20

41

The people who are in power are not important so long as they follow the law

19

14

15

19

It leads to increased despotism, corruption, and abuse

20

34

36

18

It leads to stagnation and falling behind other countries

15

20

20

12

It is difficult to say

12

7

10

9

IN YOUR OPINION, WHICH WOULD BE BETTER FOR RUSSIA?

 

Dec. 06

Dec. 11

Jan. 15

Division of power among the President of Russia,

the State Duma, and the judicial system

18

22

29

Actions of the government, the State Duma,

and the judicial system coordinated by the President of Russia

62

57

50

It is difficult to say

20

22

21

* The poll was conducted from 23-26 January 2015

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).

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