The survey took place between 20 and 23 March 2015 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.
Possible Results of the Presidential Elections
|
Mar. 15 |
In % of respondents |
In % of respondents who knew who they would vote for |
|
Vladimir Putin |
54 |
82 |
|
Gennady Zyuganov |
4 |
7 |
|
Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
3 |
4 |
|
Mikhail Prokhorov |
2 |
3 |
|
Dmitry Medvedev |
1 |
1 |
|
Alexei Navalny |
1 |
1 |
|
Sergei Shoigu |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Sergei Mironov |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
2 |
2 |
|
I don’t know who I would vote for |
14 |
– |
|
I don’t know if I would vote |
10 |
– |
|
I wouldn’t vote |
11 |
– |
Data over Time
IF THE RUSSIAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM? AND IF YES, FOR WHICH OF THE CURRENT POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (open question; politicians were not listed – respondents themselves named politicians)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
|||||||||
|
III |
IV |
V |
VII |
VIII |
IX |
X |
XI |
XII |
II |
III |
|
|
Vladimir Putin |
46 |
49 |
50 |
52 |
57 |
49 |
56 |
53 |
55 |
55 |
54 |
|
Gennady Zyuganov |
6 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
|
Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
Mikhail Prokhorov |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
2 |
|
Dmitry Medvedev |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Alexei Navalny |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Sergei Mironov |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Sergei Shoigu |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
I don’t know who I would vote for |
18 |
21 |
16 |
18 |
14 |
17 |
16 |
17 |
19 |
11 |
14 |
|
I don’t know if I would vote |
13 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
12 |
10 |
|
I wouldn’t vote |
10 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
8 |
8 |
13 |
11 |
IF THE RUSSIAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM? AND IF YES, FOR WHICH OF THE CURRENT POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (open question; politicians were not listed – respondents themselves named politicians; in % of respondents who would vote and know who they would vote for)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
|||||||||
|
III |
IV |
V |
VII |
VIII |
IX |
X |
XI |
XII |
II |
III |
|
|
Vladimir Putin |
77 |
81 |
81 |
82 |
87 |
83 |
88 |
82 |
88 |
86 |
82 |
|
Gennady Zyuganov |
9 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
4 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
|
Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
5 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
Mikhail Prokhorov |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
3 |
|
Dmitry Medvedev |
1 |
<1 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Alexei Navalny |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Sergei Mironov |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
2 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Sergei Shoigu |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
IF THE RUSSIAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM? AND IF YES, FOR WHICH OF THE CURRENT POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question; respondents chose from a list of politicians)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
|||||
|
VIII |
IX |
X |
XI |
XII |
II |
III |
|
|
Vladimir Putin |
58 |
56 |
63 |
61 |
59 |
59 |
63 |
|
Gennady Zyuganov |
7 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
|
Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
5 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
|
Mikhail Prokhorov |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Alexei Navalny |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Sergei Mironov |
1 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
I don’t know who I would vote for |
8 |
12 |
10 |
10 |
13 |
12 |
10 |
|
I don’t know if I would vote |
8 |
7 |
4 |
7 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
|
I wouldn’t vote |
10 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
6 |
9 |
7 |
IF THE RUSSIAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM? AND IF YES, FOR WHICH OF THE CURRENT POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question; respondents chose from a list of politicians; in % of respondents who would vote and know who they would vote for)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
|||||
|
VIII |
IX |
X |
XI |
XII |
II |
III |
|
|
Vladimir Putin |
79 |
75 |
81 |
82 |
80 |
80 |
80 |
|
Gennady Zyuganov |
10 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
9 |
6 |
10 |
|
Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
7 |
8 |
6 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
5 |
|
Mikhail Prokhorov |
2 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Alexei Navalny |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
|
Sergei Mironov |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Possible Results of the Duma Elections
Distribution of answers depending on the presence/absence of the “against all” column
|
Mar. 15 |
In % of all respondents |
In % of respondents who know who they would vote for |
||
|
Including the “against all” option |
Excluding the “against all” option |
Including the “against all” option |
Excluding the “against all” option |
|
|
United Russia (D. Medvedev) |
47 |
48 |
69 |
70 |
|
Communist Party (G. Zyuganov) |
10 |
9 |
14 |
14 |
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (V. Zhirinovksy) |
4 |
6 |
5 |
8 |
|
A Just Russia (S. Mironov) |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
Green Alliance – The People’s Party (O. Mitvol) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A. Navalny) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Apple (S. Mitrokhin) |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Other |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Against all |
3 |
– |
5 |
– |
|
I wouldn’t take part in the elections |
15 |
16 |
– |
– |
|
It is difficult to say |
17 |
16 |
– |
– |
Data over Time
IF THE STATE DUMA ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM? AND IF YES, FOR WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question; in % of respondents)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
||||||||||
|
III |
IV |
V |
VII |
VIII |
IX |
X |
XI |
XII |
I |
II |
III |
|
|
United Russia (D. Medvedev) |
36 |
39 |
40 |
36 |
42 |
42 |
47 |
43 |
39 |
44 |
45 |
47 |
|
Communist Party (G. Zyuganov) |
11 |
9 |
5 |
12 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
7 |
12 |
10 |
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (V. Zhirinovksy) |
5 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
|
A Just Russia (S. Mironov) |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
Green Alliance – The People’s Party (O. Mitvol) |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A. Navalny) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
2 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Apple (S. Mitrokhin) |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Against all |
4 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
|
I wouldn’t take part in the elections |
14 |
16 |
15 |
17 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
|
It is difficult to say |
23 |
19 |
26 |
22 |
18 |
18 |
15 |
17 |
19 |
17 |
14 |
17 |
IF THE STATE DUMA ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THEM? AND IF YES, FOR WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question; in % of respondents who would vote and know who they would vote for)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
||||||||||
|
III |
IV |
V |
VII |
VIII |
IX |
X |
XI |
XII |
I |
II |
III |
|
|
United Russia (D. Medvedev) |
56 |
60 |
66 |
59 |
64 |
63 |
68 |
64 |
61 |
66 |
64 |
69 |
|
Communist Party (G. Zyuganov) |
17 |
13 |
9 |
19 |
12 |
15 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
10 |
17 |
14 |
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (V. Zhirinovksy) |
8 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
9 |
7 |
10 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
8 |
5 |
|
A Just Russia (S. Mironov) |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
|
Green Alliance – The People’s Party (O. Mitvol) |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A. Navalny) |
1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
4 |
3 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Apple (S. Mitrokhin) |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
<1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Against all |
6 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
8 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly Monterey Institute of International Studies).