Press-releases

THE NORTHERN CAUCASUS

This survey took place in May 2016 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600/800 people over the age of 18 in 137 localities of 48 of the country’s regions.  The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4/4.1% for indicators around 50%.

The Russian Caucasus

HOW WOULD YOU CHARACTERIZE THE CURRENT SITUATION IN THE NORTHERN CAUCASUS (CHECHNYA, DAGESTAN, INGUSHETIA, ETC)?  (N=1600)

  May.14 May.15 Jan.16 Mar.16 May.16
Good, calm 44 45 35 41 28
Tense 40 33 45 44 51
Critical, volatile 3 2 4 5 7
It is difficult to say 14 20 16 11 14

DO YOU THINK THAT THE SITUATION IN THE NORTHERN CAUCASUS WILL IMPROVE, WORSEN, OR REMAIN THE SAME OVER THE COURSE OF THE COMING YEAR? (N=1600)

  May.14 May.15 Jan.16 Mar.16 May.16
Improve 20 19 13 15 14
Worsen 10 10 15 13 14
Remain the same 53 48 54 61 56
It is difficult to say 17 22 18 12 16

WAS THE POST-WAR DEPORTATION OF CHECHENS, INGUSHES, KARACHAYS, BALKARS, KALMYKS, CRIMEAN TATARS, AND OTHER PEOPLES FOR COLLABORATION WITH GERMAN OCCUPIERS A CRIME OF THE STALINIST REGIME OR THE RIGHT DECISION?

  May.16
It was a crime of the Stalinist regime 38
It was the right decision 30
It is difficult to say 32

Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

WHAT IS YOUR CURRENT ATTITUDE TOWARD ARMENIA? (N=800)

  Jan 99 May 16
Very positive 9 13
Mostly positive 46 66
Mostly negative 17 8
Very negative 7 1
It is difficult to say 23 12

WHAT IS YOUR CURRENT ATTITUDE TOWARD AZERBAIJAN? (N=800)

  May 16
Very positive 9
Mostly positive 61
Mostly negative 15
Very negative 2
It is difficult to say 13

DO YOU KNOW ANYTHING ABOUT NAGORNO-KARABAKH, AND IF SO, WHAT EXACTLY? (respondents indicated what they know themselves; N=800)

  May.16
It’s a territory contested by Armenia and Azerbaijan 23
At the beginning of the 90s a bloody conflict broke out in Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenians and Azerbaijanis 20
Two months ago, there was another armed conflict on the borders of Nagorno-Karabakh 18
It was historically a part of Armenia (which later passed from hand to hand) 11
It’s the former Nagorgo-Karabakh Autonomous Region (part of the Azerbaijan SSR) 9
In 1991, the independent Nagorno-Karabakh Republic was declared here 8
It’s a territory settled primarily by Armenians 7
Currently it’s the (unrecognized) Nagorno-Karabakh Republic 7
During the formation of the transcaucasian republics, this part of Transcaucasia went to the Azerbaijan SSR 7
Some consider Nagorno-Karabakh part of Azerbaijan, others consider it an independent state 6
Azerbaijan is trying to reassert control over Nagorno-Karabakh 5
It is part of Azerbaijan 2
Other 2
I know nothing about Nagorno-Karabakh 28

HAVE YOU HEARD ABOUT THE RECENT RENEWAL OF HOSTILITIES AT NAGORNO-KARABAKH’S BORDERS? (N=800)

  May 16
I’m following this story 11
I heard something, not the details 59
This is the first I’ve heard 30

IN YOUR OPINION, WHO INITIATED THE RENEWAL OF HOSTILITIES IN NAGORNO-KARABAKH? (as a percentage of those respondents who have heard about renewed hostilities)

  May 16
The US, NATO countries 23
The Azerbaijani side 19
Turkey 15
The Armenian side 4
Russia <1
Nobody, misunderstanding caused it 9
Other 1
It is difficult to say 37

WITH WHICH SIDE DO YOU SYMPATHIZE IN THIS CONFLICT? (N=800)

  May 16
The Azerbaijani side 4
The Armenian side 15
Neither side 67
It is difficult to say 15

WHOM SHOULD RUSSIA SUPPORT IN THIS CONFLICT? (N=800)

  May 16
The Azerbaijani side 3
The Armenian side 11
Neither side 66
It is difficult to say 20

HOW WOULD YOU FEEL ABOUT THE DEPLOYMENT OF RUSSIAN PEACEKEEPING FORCES TO NAGORNO-KARABAKH? (N=800)

  May 16
Completely positively 17
Probably positively 29
Probably negatively 24
Very negatively 12
It is difficult to say 18

HOW WOULD YOU FEEL ABOUT THE DEPLOYMENT OF UN PEACEKEEPING FORCES TO NAGORNO-KARABAKH WITH THE PARTICIPATION OF RUSSIAN PEACEKEEPERS? (N=800)

  May 16
Completely positively 8
Probably positively 33
Probably negatively 24
Very negatively 16
It is difficult to say 18

HOW WOULD YOU FEEL ABOUT THE DEPLOYMENT OF UN PEACEKEEPING FORCES TO NAGORNO-KARABAKH WITHOUT THE PARTICIPATION OF RUSSIAN PEACEKEEPERS? (N=800)

  May 16
Completely positively 3
Probably positively 12
Probably negatively 33
Very negatively 31
It is difficult to say 21

IN YOUR OPINION, SHOULD NAGORNO-KARABAKH BE PART OF AZERBAIJAN, PART OF ARMENIA, OR AN INDEPENDENT STATE? (N=800)

  Jul.13 Aug.14 Aug.15 May 16
Part of Azerbaijan 5 9 10 6
Part of Armenia 14 13 9 11
Independent state 44 35 42 44
It is difficult to say 37 43 39 40

Memory of victims

DO YOU THINK IT IS TRUE THAT, FROM 1914-1923, THE ARMENIAN POPULATION WAS DELIBERATELY EXTERMINATED IN TURKEY, OR ARE ACCOUNTS OF THIS EXAGGERATED? (N=800)

  Oct.07 May 15 May 16
An entire population was, in fact, exterminated 37 51 50
Accounts of this are exaggerated 13 11 13
I haven’t heard anything about this 33 22 22
It is difficult to say 17 17 15

DO YOU THINK IT IS TRUE THAT THE JEWISH POPULATION WAS REALLY DELIBERATELY EXTERMINATED IN GERMAN-OCCUPIED TERRITORY, OR ARE ACCOUNTS OF THIS EXAGGERATED? (N=800)

  Oct.07 May 15 May 16
An entire population was, in fact, exterminated 63 74 69
Accounts of this are exaggerated 12 6 10
I haven’t heard anything about this 13 8 9
It is difficult to say 12 12 12

 

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).

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