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The United States presidential election of 2016

This survey took place between 5-8 August 2016 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 137 localities of 48 of the country’s regions.  The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys.

The statistical error of these studies for a selection of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

                3.4% for indicators around 50%

                2.9% for indicators around 25%

                2.0% for indicators around 10%

                1.5% for indicators around 5%

WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARDS…

  Angela Merkel Recep Erdogan Barak Obama Petro Poroshenko
Very positive 1 1 1 1
Mostly positive 14 6 6 4
Mostly negative 50 46 41 36
Very negative 18 32 42 51
It is difficult to say 17 15 10 8

WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARDS CHANCELLOR OF GERMANY ANGELA MERKEL?

  Jul.09 Sept.09 Apr.10 Jul.10 Oct.10 Feb.11 Aug.16
Very positive 6 8 8 7 7 6 1
Mostly positive 54 50 58 59 52 54 14
Mostly negative 8 9 7 8 8 9 50
Very negative 2 2 2 2 1 3 18
It is difficult to say 30 32 25 24 32 28 17

WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARDS PRESIDENT OF UKRAINE PETRO POROSHENKO?

  May.14* Aug.16
Completely positive 3 1
Mostly positive 10 4
Mostly negative 20 36
Very negative 20 51
It is difficult to say 47 8

*Question was given in the following form: WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARDS THE ELECTION OF THE NEW PRESIDENT OF UKRAINE PETRO POROSHENKO?”

WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARDS PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES BARACK OBAMA?

  Jul.09 Sept.09 Apr.10 Jul.10 Oct.10 Feb.11 Aug.16
Very positive 4 6 5 5 4 4 1
Mostly positive 52 54 56 55 51 51 6
Mostly negative 12 13 12 14 16 16 41
Very negative 3 3 4 3 3 5 42
It is difficult to say 29 24 23 24 26 23 10

ARE YOU FOLLOWING THE PRE-ELECTION CAMPAIGN FOR THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS?

  Aug.16
Following closely 12
Heard something about it 73
First time hearing about it 15

DO YOU THINK IT WOULD BE BETTER FOR RUSSIA IF DONALD TRUMP OR HILARY CLINTON WON THIS ELECTION?

  Overall for the sample As a percentage of those respondents who follow the US pre-election campaign As a percentage of those respondents who DO NOT follow the US pre-election campaign
Donald Trump 35 39 10
Hilary Clinton 13 15 6
It is difficult to say 52 47 84

In 2012, the majority of Russians wanted Barack Obama to win

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).

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