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Donald Trump’s election

This survey took place between 20-23 January 2017 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 137 localities of 48 of the country’s regions.  The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys.

The statistical error of these studies for a selection of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

                3.4% for indicators around 50%

                2.9% for indicators around 25%/75%

                2.0% for indicators around 10%/90%

                1.5% for indicators around 5%/95%

DO YOU THINK THAT US-RUSSIAN RELATIONS WILL CHANGE AFTER THE ELECTION OF PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP, AND IF SO, IN WHAT WAY?

  Jan.09* Mar.09* Nov.16 Jan.17
Improve significantly 4 4 10 7
Improve somewhat 30 35 44 39
Remain the same 38 35 27 29
Worsen somewhat 6 6 2 8
Worsen significantly 1 1 <1 2
It is difficult to say 22 20 17 15

* Questions concerned Barack Obama.

HAVE YOU HEARD OF THE ACCUSATIONS OF TAMPERING WITH THE US ELECTION CAMPAIGN BROUGHT AGAINST RUSSIA?

  Jan.17
Following the events closely 18
Heard something about it 63
Hearing about it for the first time 19

DO YOU THINK THAT RUSSIA COULD HAVE TAMPERED WITH THE US ELECTIONS?

  Jan.17
Definitely tampered 2
Probably tampered 10
Probably didn’t tamper 37
Definitely didn’t tamper 35
It is difficult to say 16
  All Following the events closely Heard something about it Hearing about it for the first time
Definitely tampered 2 3 2 2
Probably tampered 10 11 12 5
Probably didn’t tamper 37 31 44 23
Definitely didn’t tamper 35 49 30 37
It is difficult to say 16 7 13 34

WHICH EVENTS OF THE PAST FOUR WEEKS WERE MOST MEMORABLE TO YOU? (events were not presented to respondents; respondents chose which events were most memorable THEMSELBES; multiple answers) *

  Jan.17
Donald Trump becoming US President 42
New Year’s celebrations 39
Crash of Defense Ministry TU-154 in the Black Sea 33
New Year’s vacation 20
Christmas celebrations 18
Assassination of Russian ambassador in Turkey 18
Mass methanol poisoning/deaths in Irkutsk 17
Growing prices/currency devaluation 15
Boeing crash near Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan) 14
Arrest of Economic Development Minister Aleksey Ulyukaev for accepting bribes 11
Ambulance incident in Kamchatka 9
Death of Fidel Castro 9
Liberation of Aleppo in Syria 8
Berlin Christmas market terrorist attack 8
Celebration of the Old New Year 8
Accusations of Russian hacking against the US and other countries 8
Istanbul terrorist attacks 8
Vladimir Putin’s address to the Federal Assembly of Russia 7
Expulsion of Russian diplomats from the US 7
Vladimir Putin’s visit to Japan 6
Vladimir Putin’s Dec 12 press conference 6
Release of a movie “Viking” 5
Russian racers’ victory at Dakar Rally 4
Publication of second half of WADA’s report on Sochi Olympics doping and Russia’s ban from holding winter sports championships 4
Russia’s claim to Ukraine for $3 bln in London court 3
St. Petersburg authorities’ decision to hand St. Isaac’s Cathedral over to Russian Orthodox Church 2
Davos World Economic Forum 2
Other 4
It is difficult to say 10

* According to Russians, the election of US President Donald Trump was one of the biggest events of 2016.

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).

ANO Levada Center has been included in the register of noncommercial organizations acting as foreign agents. See the Director of the Levada Center’s statement of disagreement with this decision here.

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