Press-releases

PROTEST POTENTIAL

This survey took place between November 22–28, 2018 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 136 localities of 52 of the country’s regions. The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys.

The statistical error of these studies for a selection of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

3.4% for indicators around 50%
2.9% for indicators around 25%/75%
2.0% for indicators around 10%/90%
1.5% for indicators around 5%/95%

PROTEST POTENTIAL

All of the changes in public opinion since 1994 concerning the likelihood of protests and people’s readiness to participate in them can be seen in these indicators.

 IN YOUR OPINION, TO WHAT EXTENT IS IT POSSIBLE THAT PEOPLE IN YOUR CITY/VILLAGE WILL HOLD LARGE-SCALE PROTESTS AGAINST THEIR WORSENING QUALITY OF LIFE AND/OR IN DEFENSE OF THEIR RIGHTS? (one answer)

Feb. 17 Apr. 17 Jun. 17 Sep. 17 Dec. 17 Mar. 18 Jul. 18 Nov. 18
Entirely possible 19 27 28 26 23 17 41 37
Very unlikely 74 65 63 69 70 75 54 59
I don’t know, it is difficult to say 6 8 9 5 7 8 6 5

IF THIS KIND OF MASS PROTEST OCCURRED, WOULD YOU PERSONALLY PARTICIPATE? (one answer)

  Feb. 17 Apr. 17 Jun. 17 Sep. 17 Dec. 17 Mar. 18 Jul. 18 Nov. 18
I most likely would 12 16 15 14 13 8 28 30
I most likely would not 82 77 77 80 81 86 66 66
It is difficult to say 6 7 9 7 6 6 6 5

IN YOUR OPINION, IS IT POSSIBLE THAT A POLITICAL PROTEST (DEMONSTRATION, RALLY, STRIKE) MIGHT BE HELD IN YOUR CITY/VILLAGE? (one answer)

  Feb. 17 Apr. 17 Jun. 17 Sep. 17 Dec. 17 Mar. 18 Jul. 18 Nov. 18
Entirely possible 14 23 23 21 19 12 34 30
Very unlikely 79 71 68 73 74 80 60 65
I don’t know, it is difficult to say 7 6 9 6 7 8 6 5

IF LARGE-SCALE POLITICAL PROTESTS OCCURRED, WOULD YOU PERSONALLY PARTICIPATE? (one answer)

  Feb. 17 Apr. 17 Jun. 17 Sep. 17 Dec. 17 Mar. 18 Jul. 18 Nov. 18
I most likely would 8 13 12 11 8 6 23 22
I most likely would not 87 81 80 82 85 88 72 74
It is difficult to say 5 6 8 7 7 6 5 4

HAVE YOU NOTICED ANY STRIKES, PROTESTS, RALLIES OR PICKETING IN THE PAST 2-3 MONTHS IN YOUR CITY/REGION? IF YOU HAVE, HOW DID YOU HEAR ABOUT THEM? (respondents were presented with a card from which they could choose more than one answer; ranked in descending order according to November 2018)

  Mar. 18 Jul. 18 Nov. 18
No, I haven’t noticed such events 88 74 80
Yes, I have noticed such events and learned about them from local media (local newspapers, radio, TV programs, internet sources) 4 10 8
Yes, I have noticed such events and heard about them from family, friends and acquaintances 3 9 6
Yes, I have noticed such events and learned about them from social media posts by eye-witnesses and participants 2 6 4
Yes, I have noticed such events and learned about them from state-run media (Russia-wide newspapers, central TV channels, radio stations, major Internet sources) 2 3 2
Yes, I have noticed such events and personally participated in them 1 2 2
Others <1 1 1
It is difficult to say 4 2 1

WHO DESERVES CREDIT FOR RUSSIA’S SUCCESSES AND WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR ITS FAILURES

IN YOUR OPINION, WHO DESERVES THE MOST CREDIT FOR RUSSIA’S ECONOMIC SUCCESS AND THE INCREASE IN RESIDENTS’ WELL-BEING?  (respondents could choose several answers)

  Sept. 01 Aug. 03 Aug. 05 Aug. 07 Aug. 09 Aug. 11 Aug. 12 Aug. 14 Aug. 15 Aug. 16 Nov. 17 Nov. 18
Vladimir Putin 56 57 62 55 52 38 59 81 61 56 61 55
Russian authorities/ministers 30 20 29 27 12 16 12 15 18 20 21 13
Dmitry Medvedev 11 30 11 10 12 12 12 4
Governers, regional government 8 8 10 10 2 7 3 5 8 10 12 5
Entrepreneurs/businesses 4 3 2 3 3 6 3 4 5 9 10 7
Others 3 4 3 5 7 4 2 2 2 3 6 9
No one 6 12 13 4 10 13 9 15
It is difficult to say 11 15 12 14 16 17 13 7 18 13 15 11

IN YOUR OPINION, WHO IN RUSSIA IS PRIMARILY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE COUNTRY’S PROBLEMS AND THE INCREASING COST OF LIVING? (respondents could choose several answers)

  Sept. 01 Aug. 03 Aug. 05 Aug. 07 Aug. 09 Aug. 11 Aug. 12 Aug. 13 Aug. 14 Aug. 15 Aug. 16 Nov. 17 Nov. 18
Vladimir Putin 22 18 22 19 17 29 51 58 65 44 40 49 55
Russian authorities/ministers 39 48 48 48 36 40 31 36 42 45 50 45 37
Dmitry Medvedev 23 41 19 26 25 29 32 30 21
Governers, local authorities 12 19 15 15 7 16 12 19 22 23 27 27 13
Entrepreneurs/businesses 15 9 15 13 7 6 6 9 9 10 10 12 5
Others 21 11 19 18 11 3 2 3 3 6 3 5 5
No one 5 4 5 5 2 3 4 4 3
It is difficult to say 12 12 12 12 18 10 11 11 5 13 12 13 6

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly Monterey Institute of International Studies).

The ANO Levada Center has been forcibly included in the registry of non-commercial organizations acting as foreign agents. Read the Director of the Levada Center’s statement of disagreement with this decision here.

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