Press-releases

Conflict with Ukraine: November 2022

In November, respondents’ attention and concern about the Ukrainian events decreased. Support for the Russian Armed Forces remains high. At the same time, about half of the respondents would like to start peace negotiations. The relative majority believes that the “special operation” is progressing successfully. However, confidence continues to grow that it will last from six months or longer.

At the end of November, compared to September, the share of people closely following events in Ukraine decreased: 23% follow “very closely” (32% in September) and another 35% follow “quite closely” (34% in September). The remaining ones are following them without much attention or not at all.

Respondents from the older age group (55 years and older) are most closely following events related to Ukraine – 72% are closely following the events. In the age group from 40 to 54 years, 59% of respondents are closely follow the events, as does about a half of people aged 25 to 39 and 28% of people aged 18 to 24.

Concern about the Ukrainian events remains high, but there is a decrease compared to the last two months: 42% are very concerned (58% in October), 38% are rather concerned (30% in October). The shock of partial mobilization is passing.

The greatest concern is typical for people aged 55 and older: 59% of them are very concerned about what is happening, 31% are rather worried. The youngest respondents are the least concerned about what is happening: 20% are very worried and 46% are rather worried.

Support for the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine remains high: 42% definitely support, a third rather supports. 20% are against.

The highest level of support for the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine is represented among the older age groups (40-54 years and 55 years and older) and is 75%; the lowest is typical for young respondents (18-24): 62% of respondents express support among them.

In November, the number of supporters of the continuation of military operations in Ukraine increased slightly: if in October 36% of respondents were in favor of it, then in November – 41%. Nevertheless, the relative majority of respondents (53%) support the transition to peace negotiations (57% in October).

The prevailing feelings about the military actions of the Russian Federation in Ukraine remain “pride for Russia” (42%), “anxiety, fear, horror” (34%), “anger, indignation” and “shock” (11% each).

The assessment of the success of the “special operation” is kept at the September level: 54% believe that it is progressing successfully, 32% – that it is unsuccessful.

Among the main reasons why a significant number of countries condemned Russia’s actions against Ukraine, respondents named the following: “they were blindly obeying the United States and NATO” (36%), “the world has always been against Russia” (31%), “they were misinformed by Western media” and “they are afraid that Russia will act with they are the same as with Ukraine” (19% each).

Confidence continues to grow that military operations in Ukraine will be delayed: today, only 17% of respondents believe that military actions will last up to six months (in August, there were 24%). 64% of respondents believe that military actions will last more than six months (57% in August).

METHODOLOGY

The survey by the Levada Center was conducted November 24 – 30 2022, among a representative sample of all Russian urban and rural residents. The sample was comprised of 1601 people aged 18 or older in 137 municipalities of 50 regions of the Russian Federation. The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The distribution of responses is given as a percentage of the total number of respondents.

The statistical error of these studies for a sample of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

3.4% for indicators around 50%

2.9% for indicators around 25%/75%

2.0% for indicators around 10%/90%

1.5% for indicators around 5%/95%

The ANO Levada-Center is included in the registry of non-commercial organizations acting as foreign agents.

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